Poker Odds Of Hitting Flop

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The odds of hitting three of a kind might be 1 in 46, but when you do hit it you will usually rake in a huge pot. Getting three of a kind is one of the best hands you can have after a flop, and playing it right will increase your chances of getting paid. Three of a kind can come in two different ways in poker. If you have a pocket pair and the third card comes on the flop, you.

Poker Flop Odds

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Introduction

Flop Poker is a poker variant I have seen in many of the casinos in Biloxi. I've had reports of the game in other parts of the country too, like Atlantic City and Indiana. The game is easy to learn, community cards cause players to often win or lose in unison, and there is a possibility of a large win. A unique feature is the 'pot' bet, which carries a zero house edge.

  • Poker Math And Outs You Should Know. You will improve it on the turn or river: 9.4=36% and real poker odds are around 35% You have a straight draw on the flop with 8 outs. You will improve it on the turn or river: 8.4=32% and real poker odds are around 31% You have two over cards on the turn with 6 outs.
  • 32.43% are the chances of making a pair on the flop. That doesn’t mean you should be playing any two cards, as the same odds apply for players with a higher hole cards. On a flush draw! Your chances of making a flush after the flop when on a flush draw are at 34.97%!

Rules

  1. Game uses a single deck of cards and all hands are scored according to traditional poker rules.
  2. Play starts with the player making an Ante wager and a Pot wager. The ante wager may be any amount subject to table limits. The Pot wager is always the table minimum, which in my experience is usually $5.
  3. Each player gets three cards dealt face down. The player may look at his own cards but sharing of information is not allowed.
  4. Player has two options, raise or fold. If the player folds he forfeits his Ante but but retains his cards for purposes of the Pot bet. If player raises it is in the form of a Flop bet equal to his Ante bet.
  5. The dealer then deals a three card flop face up. These are community cards and may be used by all players.
  6. The dealer will determine the best poker hand using the player's three cards and any two of the flop cards. If the player has at least a pair of jacks the Ante wager will pay even money and the Flop bet according to the pay table below.
  7. Finally, the player with the highest poker hand, again using his own three cards and any two flop cards, shall win all Pot bets. If two or more players have the exact same valued hand then the Pot bets will be chopped by the players with the high hand.

Liberal Pay Table

HandPays
Royal flush1000 to 1
Straight flush500 to 1
Four of a kind100 to 1
Full house30 to 1
Flush20 to 1
Straight11 to 1
Three of a kind4 to 1
Two pair2 to 1
Jacks or better1 to 1
All otherLoss

There is also a stingy pay table, that pays 10 to 1 on a straight, instead of 11.

Strategy

The player should raise with any of the following hands.

  1. At least one card jack or higher.
  2. A pair
  3. 3 to a flush
  4. 3 to any straight

Odds Of Hitting The Flop Poker

The player will have one of these hands 86.4% of the time.

House Edge

The following table shows all the possible events in Flop Poker, the probability, win/loss, and the contribution to the total return, based on the liberal pay table. The lower right cell shows a player return of -0.054237. This means the house edge, which is defined as the ratio of expected player loss to initial wager, is 5.42%. The element of risk, which is defined as the ratio of expected loss to the total amount wagered, is 2.91%.

Return Table in Flop Poker

EventCombinationsProbabilityPaysReturn
Royal flush18800.00000510010.004622
Straight flush167760.0000415010.020642
Four of a kind2346240.0005761010.058199
Full house16760640.004116310.127607
Flush21263440.005222210.109667
Straight43215840.010614120.127364
Three of a kind141975760.03486950.174344
Two pair376158960.09238430.277151
Jacks or better625785040.15369120.307382
Tens or less2291291520.562735-2-1.125471
Fold552720000.135747-1-0.135747
Total4071704001-0.054237

The house edge on the pot bet is obviously 0%.

Poker Odds Of Hitting Flop Video

The house edge under the stingy pay table is 6.49%.

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